It’s the best matchup between the schools during the College Football Playoff era. This year’s chapter, which pits twin 10-1 programs against each other, checks in with the fourth-highest harmonic mean, trailing only the 1975, 20 showdowns. The best Michigan-Ohio State games based on the harmonic mean of each team’s pregame Elo rating 2 Few Michigan-Ohio State games have been bigger So to check this game’s true matchup power, we looked back at the Elo ratings for Michigan and Ohio State at the time of each meeting since 1897, and we averaged those Elo ratings using the harmonic mean. Like nearly every entry in this rivalry, the stakes Saturday are high - and there will be no shortage of talent on the field. Additionally, of course, the winner of the game will play for a conference championship. This one features a cornucopia of College Football Playoff implications: The winner’s playoff chances will spike to between 59 and 67 percent, according to our model, while the loser will be virtually eliminated from contention. Saturday’s matchup is the 115th installment of one of college football’s richest rivalries. In fact, according to our Elo ratings, no team has improved more since the preseason than the Wolverines.
Some have already designated the upcoming game a referendum on his tenure, even though no program this season has rewritten its post-Week 1 narrative more than Michigan has. 1 Expectations loom large for Harbaugh and his team, which may be the more talented squad for the first time in more than a decade. Las Vegas sportsbooks installed the Wolverines as 4-point favorites, despite the fact that Michigan has won just two of its past 17 games against its rivals to the south. But he has fumbled each of his three chances at the Buckeyes. To some degree, Harbaugh must have returned to his alma mater for games like Saturday’s. Ever since the consummate Michigan Man made good on his guarantee in 1986, the maize and blue have largely been muzzled by the scarlet and gray.
It’s been 32 years since Jim Harbaugh last led the Michigan Wolverines to a win over the Ohio State Buckeyes.
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